The Broker

Cheap money

Erwin Bulte | October 10, 2011

Few topics in the broad domain of 'development' are as sexy as microfinance. Rock stars, royalty, the Nobel prize committee – almost everyone seems to have embraced it. Public relations for microfinance has been awesome.

Unfortunately, the public’s image of microfinance bears little resemblance to what is happening in the field. The public's idea of microfinance is small groups of women jointly managing their financial affairs under village trees, carefully converting favourable loans into productive assets that will eventually lift them out of poverty. That image does not capture the reality of money lending to the poor.

Most parties in the microfinance sector believe that they should focus on fully recovering all costs in order to expand their services to as many needy customers as possible, and perhaps even make some profit along the way. As a result, interest rates for microcredit have shot up since the early days when Muhammad Yunus started pioneering small loans for village women. 

Interest rates of 20%–70% per year are normal. Not surprisingly, this has attracted the attention of some financers, who smell an opportunity to make money. Indeed, the first microfinance millionaires have cropped up. To be clear: these millionaires are lenders, not borrowers.

Of course, there is absolutely nothing wrong with making money while saving the planet and eradicating poverty. But the current situation raises an uncomfortable question. Are microfinance institutions still reaching the poor? If so, do their loans help the poor to move up?

Microfinance institutions and economists have been reluctant to address these issues. The popular story regarding the first question typically goes as follows. 'The poor need access to finance, and are not looking for handouts. The marginal returns on capital are very high when capital is scarce, so it still pays to borrow, even when interest rates are high. The fact that informal moneylenders have been in business for such a long time (charging similar rates, and often even higher ones) proves there is great demand for money, even if it is expensive.' In economics jargon: demand for capital is very price inelastic. But is it really?

Recent evidence suggests it is not. Raising interest rates simply depresses demand for loans, especially among the poorest (the poor are much more responsive to high interest rates than the not-so-poor). While charging higher interest rates is generally good for the MFI – as it translates into greater profits – it compromises the MFI’s ability to reach the poor. There is a clear trade-off between financial sustainability and poverty alleviation.1

What about the second question – do microloans still enable the poor who manage to obtain a loan to invest it and become not-so-poor? The evidence here is much less clear. But again, reality is often at odds with the public's concept of microfinance. Few investments are profitable at an annual interest rate of 30%. Many loans are used for consumptive purposes or emergencies – think of funerals or medical expenses. In other cases, loans are used to finance cash-and-carry trading activities, generating immediate revenues.

Some observers argue that the massive flow of funds made available for expensive microloans crowd out funding for productive investments in the manufacturing sector – but these are exactly the technologies (with economies of scale, so that expanding production implies lower per unit costs) needed to kick-start a process of sustainable economic growth (see 'Microfinance: Discrediting the myth', The Broker 22).2   If this is the case, instead of helping countries to develop, the microfinance hype and hoopla could actually achieve the exact opposite – promote the creation of a large flea market that sells little of value.

Undoubtedly some of the statements about the counter-productive nature of microfinance are speculative and premature. However, the microfinance myth that dominates the media is wrong, too. Microfinance could do much more to help the poor if it abandoned its focus on financial sustainability. There is nothing wrong with subsidized credit if it alleviates poverty.  A multi-pronged plan of attack is needed.

Footnotes

  • 1.

    See Dehejia, R., Montgomery, H. and Murdoch, J. (2011) Do interest rates matter? Credit demand in the Dhaka slums. Journal of development economics. In Press; and Karlan, D. and Zinman, J. (2008) Credit elasticities in less-developed countries: Implications for microfinance. American Economic Review 98: 1040-1068


  • 2.

    Bateman, M., 2010. Why Doesn’t Microfinance Work? The Destructive Rise of Local Neoliberalism. Zed Books.


Comments

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Cheap Money

It is generally accepted that if you offer subsidized credit, the credit officers can demand a bribe, bringing the true cost to the market rate - the rate charged by moneylenders. Similar problems arise with subsidized farm inputs, etc. So agricultural economists use other methods which do not offer the same temptations
Peter Bowbrick | January 16, 2012 | Respond

Towards a small scale China

Good article! Thus, what you are actually saying is that we need to attack the root of their unproductive economies by helping them create economies of scale. Which sounds plausible – but this would make them a possible competitor in the global market for tradable goods, and that is something Western corporation are not eager to accept. Which in turn makes subsiding the projects a dilemma. Because, in most scenario’s the developing country does not have the assets to subsidize the loan, thus then all eyes are focussed on the West. But Western politicians wouldn’t pursue a policy if it might undermine the production output of the local market. So the question is; who is going to subsidize the loan? One of the few possibilities I can think of is that the local government raises money with government bonds and uses that money to lend to ambitious entrepreneurs at that same rate. But in order to make sure that as little risk as possible is involved this will have to be done under the supervision of those governments, and make it a semi or fully state owned enterprise – thus the goal would be to become a small scale China.

Shahrzad Nourozi | October 18, 2011 | Respond

Microfinance's Impact on Poor People

From our aid industry, our banks and our Royals, microfinance has gotten attention, and thus millions in subsidies, far beyond its proven worth in addressing poverty. That is evident in a number of the points Erwin Bulte makes, but today is even clearer in light of findings by exhaustive research into microfinance’s social impact. Released in August under auspices of the Britain’s official aid agency, a report (see reference) termed ‘The Mothership of Microfinance Impact Studies’ concludes in basically that there is “no good evidence to support the claim that microfinance has a beneficial effect on the well-being of poor people or empowers women”. Moreover, the widespread enthusiasm for microfinance has been built “on foundations of sand”. The report urges study into the reasons why this widespread, but evidently inappropriate optimism has persisted despite the lack of solid evidence. It is time to get real, to stop throwing good money after bad. If claims about intentions to pursue “no-nonsense”, “results-based” and “evidence based” aid policy are to be made credible, then ending the enchantment and the subsidies for today’s microfinance would be a wise step.

Reference:
What is the evidence of the impact of microfinance on the well-being of poor people?, Maren Duvendack, Richard Palmer-Jones, James G Copestake, Lee Hooper, Yoon Loke, Nitya Rao, London: EPPI-Centre, Social Science Research Unit, Institute of Education, University of London, August 2011.

url: http://www.dfid.gov.uk/R4D/PDF/Outputs/SystematicReviews/Microfinance2011Duvendackreport.pdf
David Sogge | October 18, 2011 | Respond